StatSheet Projects Pittsburgh as NIT Bubble Team: 03/05/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on March 5th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects Pittsburgh to make the NIT as a four seed, as long as they finish with a winning record. The Panthers are sitting at #111 in the StatSheet StatRank, and their NIT bid will hang on their 16-15 overall record and 5-13 record in the Big East.

During its last four games, Pittsburgh chalked up a win against St. John's but also hit a setback with losses to RPI #32 Connecticut and AP #19 Louisville.

Pittsburgh is weak against top competition, with a 5-13 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 2-10 record against the RPI Top 50 and a 1-5 record against AP ranked teams. While the Panthers have two quality wins including RPI #43 West Virginia and AP #11 Georgetown, they're also weighed down by two bad losses including RPI #151 Rutgers and RPI #195 DePaul.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Seton Hall (19-11, 8-10 Big East, StatRank #60), NC State (20-11, 9-7 ACC, StatRank #52), Oregon (22-8, 13-5 Pac 12, StatRank #53), and Texas (19-12, 9-9 Big 12, StatRank #55).

The first four teams out are Brigham Young (25-8, 12-4 West Coast, StatRank #48), Cincinnati (22-9, 12-6 Big East, StatRank #68), Mississippi State (21-10, 8-8 SEC, StatRank #76), and Tennessee (18-13, 10-6 SEC, StatRank #89).

The next four out are Colorado (19-11, 11-7 Pac 12, StatRank #80), Illinois (17-14, 6-12 Big Ten, StatRank #76), St. Joseph's (PA) (19-12, 9-7 A-10, StatRank #50), and Xavier (19-11, 10-6 A-10, StatRank #54).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Baylor
#3Georgetown
#4Florida
#5Florida State
#6Memphis
#7Colorado State
#8Alabama
#9California
#10Northwestern
#11Miami (FL)
#12NC State
#13Harvard
#14Akron
#15Belmont
#16Bucknell
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Kansas
#2Marquette
#3Michigan
#4Indiana
#5Murray State
#6Southern Miss
#7Gonzaga
#8Connecticut
#9Creighton
#10Saint Louis
#11Ole Miss
#12Oregon
#13Long Beach State
#14Drexel
#15Davidson
#16Long Island
#17UNCA
Regional 3
#1Kentucky
#2Michigan State
#3Missouri
#4Louisville
#5UNLV
#6Vanderbilt
#7Iowa State
#8San Diego State
#9Kansas State
#10South Florida
#11New Mexico
#12Texas
#13Oral Roberts
#14Iona
#15MTSU
#16Montana
#17Savannah State
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Ohio State
#4Wisconsin
#5Notre Dame
#6Wichita State
#7Virginia
#8Temple
#9Purdue
#10West Virginia
#11Saint Mary's
#12Washington
#13Seton Hall
#14Nevada
#15Valparaiso
#16Texas-Arlington
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East9 1656.2%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC5 1241.7%
Mountain West4 850.0%
Pac 123 1225.0%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
A-102 1414.3%
C-USA2 1216.7%
West Coast2 922.2%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
Summit League1 1010.0%
CAA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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Big East Standings

OverallConf
1 Syracuse 34-3 17-1
2 Marquette 27-8 14-4
3 Notre Dame 22-12 13-5
4 Georgetown 24-9 12-6
4 Cincinnati 26-11 12-6
4 South Florida 22-14 12-6
7 Louisville 30-10 10-8
8 West Virginia 19-14 9-9
9 Seton Hall 21-13 8-10
9 Connecticut 20-14 8-10
11 Rutgers 14-18 6-12
11 St. John's 13-19 6-12
 13Pittsburgh 22-17 5-13
13 Villanova 13-19 5-13
15 Providence 15-17 4-14
16 DePaul 12-19 3-15
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#2 Isaiah Epps Fr G 6-2 185
#12 Ashton Gibbs Sr G 6-2 190
#33 Malcolm Gilbert Fr C 6-11 235
#5 Durand Johnson Fr G/F 6-6 190
#4 John Johnson Fr G 6-1 175
#44 J.J. Moore So F 6-6 205
#15 Aron Nwankwo So F 6-7 205
#21 Lamar Patterson So G/F 6-5 221
#14 Nick Rivers Sr G 6-0 180
#35 Nasir Robinson Sr F 6-5 225
#11 Dante Taylor Jr F 6-9 240
#1 Tray Woodall Jr G 5-11 190
#3 Cameron Wright Fr G 6-4 205
#42 Talib Zanna So F 6-9 230